Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 62.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 75.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 65.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Haula
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Haula
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Haula
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
45.5% (661)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
46.3% (82)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
33.3% (84)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Haula
Carlsson
Home
48.6% (426)
42.5% (428)
Away
51.6% (411)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Haula
Carlsson
P1
52.2%
45.4%
P2
51.5%
39.7%
P3
46.7%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |