Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 60.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 86.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 82.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Haula
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Haula
Celebrini
Last 10: Haula 8-2 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Celebrini
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
1
Haula
Celebrini
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
47.2% (901)
+5.7%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
54.7% (139)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
54.5% (11)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Haula shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Haula
Celebrini
Home
54.2% (345)
47.6% (553)
Away
51.1% (374)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Haula
Celebrini
P1
55.8%
46.6%
P2
48.0%
46.4%
P3
54.1%
51.8%
OT
100.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Erik Haula |