Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.9% vs Zibanejad 50.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 83.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 51.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 66.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Haula
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Haula
Zibanejad
Last 7: Haula 1-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Haula
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Haula
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (705)
50.8% (1,073)
+3.1%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
52.5% (118)
-38.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (69)
45.2% (115)
+5.5%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Haula is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Haula shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Home / Away
Haula
Zibanejad
Home
49.4% (397)
52.9% (682)
Away
57.3% (384)
47.8% (624)
By Period
Haula
Zibanejad
P1
51.5%
47.5%
P2
52.7%
52.8%
P3
56.3%
51.4%
OT
42.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |