Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Haula wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 51.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Haula
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Haula
Zibanejad
Last 8: Haula 4-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Haula
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (734)
54.0% (955)
-1.3%
Power Play
71.4% (49)
55.6% (243)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
35.0% (140)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Haula is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Haula shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Haula
Zibanejad
Home
54.0% (404)
55.2% (656)
Away
53.7% (402)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Haula
Zibanejad
P1
50.8%
56.3%
P2
55.0%
50.0%
P3
55.1%
51.2%
OT
80.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 15, 2022 | OT | 04:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |