Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.7%). Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Backlund 49.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 76.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 64.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Haula
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Haula
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
50.1% (891)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
53.1% (64)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
47.8% (278)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Haula
Backlund
Home
48.6% (426)
48.1% (580)
Away
51.6% (411)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Haula
Backlund
P1
52.2%
45.1%
P2
51.5%
54.7%
P3
46.7%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Erik Haula |