Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Backlund 50.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 62.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Haula
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Haula
Backlund
Last 5: Haula 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Haula
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
51.0% (1,205)
+6.6%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
59.3% (108)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
42.3% (234)
+3.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Haula
Backlund
Home
56.3% (449)
51.2% (782)
Away
53.3% (443)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Haula
Backlund
P1
58.4%
51.5%
P2
54.9%
49.8%
P3
52.0%
49.9%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |