Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Marner 43.1% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 59.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 85.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 83.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Haula
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Haula
Marner
Last 9: Haula 6-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marner
0
2
Haula
Marner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Marner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Marner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
41.5% (282)
+8.5%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
40.0% (5)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
25.0% (12)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Marner is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Haula
Marner
Home
48.6% (426)
36.1% (158)
Away
51.6% (411)
46.1% (141)
By Period
Haula
Marner
P1
52.2%
41.6%
P2
51.5%
40.2%
P3
46.7%
40.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Erik Haula |