Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Marner 43.1% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 70.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 92.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 90.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Haula
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Haula
Marner
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marner
1
2
Haula
Marner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Marner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Marner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
42.2% (462)
+10.7%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
55.6% (18)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
35.4% (65)
+8.1%
On even strength, Haula has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Haula
Marner
Home
53.4% (4,478)
38.2% (293)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
46.0% (252)
By Period
Haula
Marner
P1
53.2%
39.1%
P2
51.4%
41.1%
P3
52.7%
47.1%
OT
43.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |