Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Barron 48.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 71.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 65.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 52.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Haula
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Haula
Barron
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
2
Haula
Barron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
3
Haula
Barron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
49.5% (731)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
50.0% (6)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
42.6% (209)
+0.9%
On power play, Haula has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Haula shoots left. Barron is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Haula
Barron
Home
53.4% (4,478)
45.5% (457)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
50.3% (489)
By Period
Haula
Barron
P1
53.2%
47.6%
P2
51.4%
51.3%
P3
52.7%
45.0%
OT
43.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |