Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 71.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 63.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Haula
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Haula
Bjugstad
Last 5: Haula 2-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Haula
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
50.7% (906)
+6.9%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
48.1% (108)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
44.4% (239)
+1.1%
On even strength, Haula has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Haula
Bjugstad
Home
56.3% (449)
49.8% (643)
Away
53.3% (443)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Haula
Bjugstad
P1
58.4%
49.4%
P2
54.9%
50.5%
P3
52.0%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |