Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.6% vs Backstrom 49.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 70.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 71.3%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 73.5%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Haula
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Haula
Backstrom
Last 10: Haula 3-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
6
Haula
Backstrom
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
5
Haula
Backstrom
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (516)
50.0% (854)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
44.6% (148)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
50.0% (46)
-12.9%
On power play, Haula has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Haula shoots left. Backstrom is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Haula
Backstrom
Home
58.8% (386)
52.2% (506)
Away
48.4% (318)
46.5% (542)
By Period
Haula
Backstrom
P1
53.8%
45.3%
P2
55.2%
46.9%
P3
53.2%
55.5%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 3, 2020 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 5, 2019 | OT | 00:19 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |