Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 61.0%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 52.7%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 67.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Haula
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Haula
Backstrom
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Haula
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
3
Haula
Backstrom
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
51.4% (473)
+3.1%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
39.5% (38)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
33.3% (3)
+12.1%
On power play, Haula has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Haula
Backstrom
Home
55.4% (520)
53.6% (278)
Away
53.1% (537)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Haula
Backstrom
P1
56.5%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
56.0%
P3
53.8%
43.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |