Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Cates 45.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 58.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 54.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Haula
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Haula
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
45.4% (712)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
42.2% (102)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
44.7% (47)
-0.6%
On power play, Haula has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Haula
Cates
Home
48.6% (426)
46.3% (423)
Away
51.6% (411)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Haula
Cates
P1
52.2%
46.3%
P2
51.5%
47.1%
P3
46.7%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |