Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Cates 40.4% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 15-3 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 97.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 94.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 94.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Haula
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
3
(18 meetings)
15
3
Haula
Cates
Last 10: Haula 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
8
0
Haula
Cates
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Cates
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
4
2
Haula
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
40.4% (841)
+14.1%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
42.4% (66)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
32.7% (147)
+12.7%
On power play, Haula has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Haula
Cates
Home
55.4% (520)
38.2% (566)
Away
53.1% (537)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Haula
Cates
P1
56.5%
40.5%
P2
53.3%
42.4%
P3
53.8%
35.3%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Erik Haula |