Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 85.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 59.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 69.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Haula
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Haula
Bergeron
Last 8: Haula 5-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Haula
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Haula
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
62.5% (1,109)
-8.0%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
62.2% (352)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
53.5% (245)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Haula
Bergeron
Home
55.4% (520)
61.9% (917)
Away
53.1% (537)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Haula
Bergeron
P1
56.5%
60.8%
P2
53.3%
60.3%
P3
53.8%
63.0%
OT
25.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |