Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 27-18 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 63.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 71.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 66.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Haula
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
27
(45 meetings)
18
27
Haula
Stastny
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
15
Haula
Stastny
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
6
5
Haula
Stastny
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
7
Haula
Stastny
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,495)
54.6% (10,616)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.8% (587)
59.1% (1,994)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (771)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Haula is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,643).
Haula shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Haula
Stastny
Home
53.6% (4,373)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.3% (4,480)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Haula
Stastny
P1
53.2%
56.3%
P2
51.4%
55.4%
P3
53.1%
53.5%
OT
44.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |