Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Stastny 56.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 69.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 52.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Haula
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Haula
Stastny
Last 8: Haula 4-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Haula
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
57.5% (412)
-3.0%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
60.0% (65)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
44.4% (9)
+1.0%
On power play, Haula has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Haula
Stastny
Home
55.4% (520)
58.3% (276)
Away
53.1% (537)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Haula
Stastny
P1
56.5%
63.7%
P2
53.3%
57.3%
P3
53.8%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Erik Haula |