Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 33-17 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 66.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 57.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Haula
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
33
(50 meetings)
17
33
Haula
Johansen
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
15
Haula
Johansen
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
7
11
Haula
Johansen
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
9
7
Haula
Johansen
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
53.1% (11,017)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
56.2% (2,163)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
50.5% (978)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Haula
Johansen
Home
53.4% (4,478)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Haula
Johansen
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
51.4%
53.9%
P3
52.7%
52.8%
OT
43.5%
58.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |