Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Johansen 58.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 56.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 62.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Haula
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Haula
Johansen
Last 6: Haula 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Haula
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
59.8% (625)
-5.3%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
58.2% (196)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
51.9% (27)
-6.5%
On power play, Haula has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Haula
Johansen
Home
55.4% (520)
60.3% (436)
Away
53.1% (537)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Haula
Johansen
P1
56.5%
61.3%
P2
53.3%
60.4%
P3
53.8%
56.0%
OT
25.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |