Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.5%). Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.6% vs Aho 50.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 57.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 71.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 56.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Haula
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Haula
Aho
Last 10: Haula 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Haula
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
6
Haula
Aho
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (516)
50.5% (647)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
54.2% (131)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (39)
38.1% (42)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Haula is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Haula shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Haula
Aho
Home
49.8% (321)
53.9% (445)
Away
51.7% (292)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Haula
Aho
P1
51.8%
48.7%
P2
50.5%
51.4%
P3
49.7%
50.8%
OT
60.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.7%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |