Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Aho 51.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 77.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 50.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 59.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Haula
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Haula
Aho
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
9
Haula
Aho
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Haula
Aho
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
48.5% (778)
+6.0%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
63.4% (191)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
50.8% (65)
-5.4%
On even strength, Haula has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Haula
Aho
Home
55.4% (520)
51.3% (530)
Away
53.1% (537)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Haula
Aho
P1
56.5%
50.0%
P2
53.3%
51.3%
P3
53.8%
52.1%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |