Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.2% vs Aho 52.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 71.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 51.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Haula
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Haula
Aho
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Haula
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
2
Haula
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Haula
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (388)
52.4% (622)
+4.3%
Power Play
59.6% (47)
60.7% (28)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (55)
52.4% (42)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Haula is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Haula shoots left. Aho is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Haula
Aho
Home
57.6% (210)
54.9% (359)
Away
53.2% (280)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Haula
Aho
P1
55.5%
51.6%
P2
54.8%
53.3%
P3
55.1%
52.7%
OT
54.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Erik Haula |