Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Johnson 45.7% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 77.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 51.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 62.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Haula
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Haula
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Haula
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Haula
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
44.6% (285)
+13.0%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
46.7% (60)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
16.7% (6)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Haula
Johnson
Home
56.3% (449)
50.8% (179)
Away
53.3% (443)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Haula
Johnson
P1
58.4%
41.3%
P2
54.9%
41.8%
P3
52.0%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |