Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Compher 51.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 64.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 51.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 55.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Rodrigues
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Compher
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Rodrigues
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
53.9% (757)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
54.8% (31)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
35.6% (90)
+1.7%
On power play, Compher has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Rodrigues shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Compher
Home
48.3% (429)
52.4% (429)
Away
45.4% (346)
51.7% (449)
By Period
Rodrigues
Compher
P1
48.3%
56.0%
P2
46.9%
50.0%
P3
45.6%
50.6%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |