Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Drury 57.0% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 70.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 72.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 74.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Rodrigues
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues
Drury
Last 7: Rodrigues 2-5 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Rodrigues
Drury
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
3
Rodrigues
Drury
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Drury
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
58.0% (1,975)
-11.8%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
58.5% (118)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
52.1% (292)
-9.2%
On power play, Drury has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Drury is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Drury
Home
47.1% (1,820)
58.3% (1,212)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
56.3% (1,173)
By Period
Rodrigues
Drury
P1
46.9%
56.0%
P2
46.1%
58.6%
P3
44.6%
57.0%
OT
48.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |