Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Spezza 52.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 56.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 59.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 63.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Rodrigues
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rodrigues
Spezza
Last 5: Rodrigues 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Rodrigues
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
53.7% (451)
-6.5%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
54.3% (92)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
38.2% (34)
+4.1%
On even strength, Spezza has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Rodrigues is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Rodrigues shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Spezza
Home
49.8% (215)
55.0% (282)
Away
44.4% (171)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Rodrigues
Spezza
P1
44.2%
53.1%
P2
53.5%
53.2%
P3
44.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:53 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |