Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rodrigues wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.9% vs Carter 51.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 81.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 67.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 80.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Rodrigues
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Rodrigues
Carter
Last 7: Rodrigues 5-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Rodrigues
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
1
Rodrigues
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (560)
49.9% (935)
-3.3%
Power Play
42.4% (59)
61.8% (157)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
46.7% (92)
+3.3%
On power play, Carter has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Rodrigues is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Rodrigues shoots right. Carter is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Carter
Home
48.5% (379)
52.4% (638)
Away
43.5% (276)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Rodrigues
Carter
P1
48.8%
49.6%
P2
43.8%
50.9%
P3
45.6%
53.0%
OT
77.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
40.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |