Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Carter 58.5% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 69.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 77.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Rodrigues
Carter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
59.7% (727)
-5.3%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
68.1% (72)
-36.1%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
53.2% (139)
-17.1%
On power play, Carter has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Rodrigues is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Rodrigues shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Carter
Home
47.9% (119)
58.7% (455)
Away
50.8% (122)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Rodrigues
Carter
P1
53.8%
61.3%
P2
51.9%
57.1%
P3
43.2%
59.8%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%