Evan Rodrigues vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 56.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Rodrigues 5-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
5
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
0
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
49.0% (3,852)
-2.8%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
51.3% (351)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
45.7% (35)
-2.8%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.1% (1,820)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
P1
46.9%
49.9%
P2
46.1%
50.4%
P3
44.6%
47.2%
OT
48.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |