Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Veleno 51.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 57.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 64.4%
Neutral zone
Veleno 54.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Rodrigues
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rodrigues
Veleno
Last 5: Rodrigues 3-2 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Rodrigues
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Veleno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
52.9% (272)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
37.9% (29)
-0.6%
On even strength, Veleno has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Veleno is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Veleno
Home
48.3% (429)
49.6% (123)
Away
45.4% (346)
52.8% (178)
By Period
Rodrigues
Veleno
P1
48.3%
54.8%
P2
46.9%
49.2%
P3
45.6%
52.6%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |