Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Veleno 47.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 52.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 62.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 55.3%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Rodrigues
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rodrigues
Veleno
Last 7: Rodrigues 4-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
2
Rodrigues
Veleno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
47.4% (2,311)
-1.2%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
51.0% (98)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
36.4% (88)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Veleno
Home
47.1% (1,820)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.6% (1,361)
By Period
Rodrigues
Veleno
P1
46.9%
48.0%
P2
46.1%
47.7%
P3
44.6%
45.9%
OT
48.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |