Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beecher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beecher shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Beecher 51.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 89.9%
Defensive zone
Beecher 54.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 69.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Rodrigues
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rodrigues
Beecher
Last 5: Rodrigues 1-4 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
1
Rodrigues
Beecher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
2
Rodrigues
Beecher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
1
Rodrigues
Beecher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
52.8% (458)
-7.2%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
87.5% (8)
-47.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.4% (76)
+6.6%
On power play, Beecher has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Beecher is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Beecher
Home
46.5% (142)
53.5% (273)
Away
43.6% (140)
50.6% (269)
By Period
Rodrigues
Beecher
P1
42.9%
51.1%
P2
50.0%
52.3%
P3
42.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | John Beecher |