Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs McTavish 50.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 64.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 65.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 68.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Rodrigues
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Rodrigues
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Rodrigues
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
51.1% (769)
-5.5%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
50.6% (178)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
28.6% (14)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
McTavish
Home
46.5% (142)
52.3% (461)
Away
43.6% (140)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Rodrigues
McTavish
P1
42.9%
51.5%
P2
50.0%
54.0%
P3
42.4%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.0%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |