Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Domi 50.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 84.5%
Defensive zone
Domi 78.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 68.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Rodrigues
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Rodrigues
Domi
Last 7: Rodrigues 7-0 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
49.7% (499)
-4.1%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
56.8% (44)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Domi is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Domi
Home
46.5% (142)
51.0% (298)
Away
43.6% (140)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Rodrigues
Domi
P1
42.9%
54.8%
P2
50.0%
48.9%
P3
42.4%
46.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |