Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 68.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 70.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 69.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (525)
53.8% (591)
-6.9%
Power Play
48.1% (54)
47.4% (38)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (57)
43.6% (117)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Rodrigues shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Home
46.3% (354)
48.2% (307)
Away
45.0% (282)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
P1
47.7%
54.0%
P2
46.0%
51.0%
P3
43.2%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.8%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |