Evan Rodrigues vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 73.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 71.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 72.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Last 10: Rodrigues 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
4
3
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
8
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
50.9% (11,719)
-4.7%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
52.2% (1,849)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
41.5% (1,790)
+1.4%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (978).
Rodrigues shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Home
47.1% (1,820)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
P1
46.9%
50.4%
P2
46.1%
49.7%
P3
44.6%
49.8%
OT
48.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |