Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Kadri 46.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 58.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 57.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 57.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Rodrigues
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Rodrigues
Kadri
Last 5: Rodrigues 0-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
5
Rodrigues
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
45.7% (1,295)
-0.1%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
52.7% (146)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
34.8% (23)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kadri
Home
46.5% (142)
46.5% (725)
Away
43.6% (140)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kadri
P1
42.9%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
44.9%
P3
42.4%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |