Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Roy 52.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 86.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 78.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 76.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Rodrigues
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Rodrigues
Roy
Last 10: Rodrigues 2-8 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Rodrigues
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
4
Rodrigues
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Rodrigues
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
52.3% (589)
-4.5%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
50.0% (40)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
53.3% (92)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Rodrigues shoots right. Roy is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Roy
Home
47.9% (445)
55.1% (350)
Away
45.4% (346)
49.6% (371)
By Period
Rodrigues
Roy
P1
48.3%
53.4%
P2
47.0%
51.1%
P3
44.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Roy
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |