Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Roy 47.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 50.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 71.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 50.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Rodrigues
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
48.6% (679)
-3.0%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
48.0% (50)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
34.7% (49)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rodrigues is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Rodrigues shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Roy
Home
46.5% (142)
49.3% (345)
Away
43.6% (140)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Rodrigues
Roy
P1
42.9%
47.6%
P2
50.0%
47.1%
P3
42.4%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |