Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ostlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 59.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 80.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 61.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Rodrigues
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rodrigues
Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Rodrigues
Ostlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Ostlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Ostlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
32.5% (283)
+13.7%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
11.1% (9)
+33.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
33.3% (3)
+9.6%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Ostlund is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Ostlund
Home
47.1% (1,820)
37.0% (154)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
26.2% (141)
By Period
Rodrigues
Ostlund
P1
46.9%
34.6%
P2
46.1%
32.0%
P3
44.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
23.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Noah Ostlund |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |