Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Patrick 50.5% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 58.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 59.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Rodrigues
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Rodrigues
Patrick
Last 8: Rodrigues 3-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
2
Rodrigues
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
2
Rodrigues
Patrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (338)
50.6% (719)
-9.2%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
50.0% (22)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Patrick has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Rodrigues is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Rodrigues shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Patrick
Home
40.9% (159)
50.1% (391)
Away
43.5% (209)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Rodrigues
Patrick
P1
47.8%
54.4%
P2
37.6%
49.3%
P3
42.1%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |