Evan Rodrigues vs Nolan Patrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Patrick 51.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 53.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 54.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 55.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Rodrigues
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Rodrigues
Patrick
Last 10: Rodrigues 6-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
3
Rodrigues
Patrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
3
Rodrigues
Patrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
3
Rodrigues
Patrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
50.6% (1,978)
-4.4%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
57.5% (120)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
57.7% (26)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (978).
Rodrigues shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Patrick
Home
47.1% (1,820)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Rodrigues
Patrick
P1
46.9%
52.9%
P2
46.1%
49.1%
P3
44.6%
51.3%
OT
48.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |