Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Greig 50.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 70.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 68.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 62.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Rodrigues
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rodrigues
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Rodrigues
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
51.5% (336)
-3.6%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
66.7% (24)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
43.2% (81)
-5.9%
On power play, Greig has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Greig
Home
48.3% (429)
50.2% (247)
Away
45.4% (346)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Rodrigues
Greig
P1
48.3%
46.9%
P2
46.9%
58.8%
P3
45.6%
48.3%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |