Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Greig 48.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 50.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 78.6%
Neutral zone
Greig 62.3%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Rodrigues
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Rodrigues
Greig
Last 9: Rodrigues 6-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Rodrigues
Greig
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
48.5% (1,133)
-2.3%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
56.8% (74)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
46.5% (172)
-3.6%
On power play, Greig has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Greig
Home
47.1% (1,820)
49.8% (681)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Rodrigues
Greig
P1
46.9%
46.3%
P2
46.1%
51.2%
P3
44.6%
48.8%
OT
48.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |