Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.9% vs Johansen 53.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 89.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 59.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 70.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Rodrigues
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Rodrigues
Johansen
Last 6: Rodrigues 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Rodrigues
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (560)
54.7% (1,149)
-8.1%
Power Play
42.4% (59)
49.7% (191)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
47.9% (121)
+2.1%
On even strength, Johansen has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Rodrigues is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Rodrigues shoots right. Johansen is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Johansen
Home
48.5% (379)
52.5% (739)
Away
43.5% (276)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Rodrigues
Johansen
P1
48.8%
53.8%
P2
43.8%
55.8%
P3
45.6%
51.2%
OT
77.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
40.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |