Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Johansen 58.2% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 72.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 68.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 71.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Rodrigues
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rodrigues
Johansen
Last 5: Rodrigues 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Rodrigues
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Rodrigues
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
59.8% (625)
-5.4%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
58.2% (196)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
51.9% (27)
-15.8%
On power play, Johansen has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Rodrigues is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Rodrigues shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Johansen
Home
47.9% (119)
60.3% (436)
Away
50.8% (122)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Rodrigues
Johansen
P1
53.8%
61.3%
P2
51.9%
60.4%
P3
43.2%
56.0%
OT
33.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |