Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.6%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs McLeod 47.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 54.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 66.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 50.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Rodrigues
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Rodrigues
McLeod
Last 10: Rodrigues 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
7
4
Rodrigues
McLeod
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Rodrigues
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
4
2
Rodrigues
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
49.2% (796)
-1.3%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
44.8% (87)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
43.3% (263)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
McLeod
Home
48.3% (429)
49.2% (575)
Away
45.4% (346)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Rodrigues
McLeod
P1
48.3%
52.8%
P2
46.9%
45.1%
P3
45.6%
45.6%
OT
44.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |