Evan Rodrigues vs Sam Steel

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Steel holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Rodrigues 46.0% vs Steel 50.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor Steel leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Rodrigues 63.5%
Defensive zone Rodrigues 65.3%
Neutral zone Rodrigues 64.1%
Result Evan Rodrigues favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Rodrigues Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 7 (11 meetings)
4
7
Rodrigues Steel
Last 10: Rodrigues 3-7 Steel

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Rodrigues Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Rodrigues Steel
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Rodrigues
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
50.6% (2,876)
-4.4%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
62.6% (179)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
37.4% (254)
+5.5%
On power play, Steel has a +17.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Steel shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Steel
Home
47.1% (1,820)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Rodrigues
Steel
P1
46.9%
51.9%
P2
46.1%
49.5%
P3
44.6%
49.6%
OT
48.5%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%
50.0%
45.9%
Steel
50.0%
49.0%
50.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 1, 2025 3 17:19 Neutral Sam Steel
Nov 1, 2025 3 10:41 Neutral Sam Steel
Nov 1, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Evan Rodrigues
Nov 1, 2025 2 07:11 Defensive Sam Steel
Nov 1, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Evan Rodrigues
Feb 28, 2020 1 09:52 Offensive Sam Steel
Feb 9, 2020 1 17:52 Defensive Evan Rodrigues
Feb 9, 2020 1 06:01 Neutral Sam Steel
Oct 21, 2018 1 16:36 Offensive Sam Steel
Oct 21, 2018 1 13:14 Defensive Sam Steel
Oct 21, 2018 1 02:08 Defensive Evan Rodrigues