Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Couturier 53.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 74.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 51.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 69.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Rodrigues
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues
Couturier
Last 7: Rodrigues 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Rodrigues
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Rodrigues
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
53.4% (758)
-5.5%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
62.9% (70)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
50.7% (227)
-13.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Couturier
Home
48.3% (429)
50.7% (517)
Away
45.4% (346)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Rodrigues
Couturier
P1
48.3%
55.2%
P2
46.9%
53.0%
P3
45.6%
53.3%
OT
44.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |