Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 83.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 82.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 78.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Rodrigues
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Rodrigues
Bozak
Last 10: Rodrigues 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
7
Rodrigues
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
5
Rodrigues
Bozak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.5%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
55.2% (1,990)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.1%
On power play, Bozak has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (978).
Rodrigues shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Bozak
Home
47.1% (1,820)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Rodrigues
Bozak
P1
46.9%
53.2%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
44.6%
54.5%
OT
48.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |